Oscar 2018: Best Picture–Ranking the Nominees

No Matter what happens on Sunday, March 4, when the Oscar telecast takes place, the estimable Fox Searchlight will emerge triumphant, because they have the two frontrunners in the race.

Here is my ranking of the nine Best Picture nominees in terms of winning probability:

  1. The Shape of Water  (Fox Searchlight
  2. Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri (Fox Searchlight)

3. Get Out (Universal)

4. Dunkirk (Warner)

5. Lady Bird (A 24)

6. The Post (Fox)

7.  Phantom Thread (Focus Features)

8. Darkest Hour (Focus Features)

9. Call Me By Your Name (Sony Classics)