Oscar 2022: Best Actress–Predictions, My Choice

My Life as an Oscar Historian and Oscar Predictor, 1986-present


Five of these eight women should garner Best Actress nomination on Tuesday, Feb. 8

(listed in alphabetical order)

Olivia Colman, The Lost Daughter (Previous winner)

Penélope Cruz, Parallel Mothers, (Previous winner) My First Choice

Emilia Jones, CODA (First-timer)

Nicole Kidman, Being the Ricardos (Previous winner)

Lady Gaga, House of Gucci (Previous nominee)

Frances McDormand, The Tragedy of Macbeth (Previous winner)

Renate Reinsve, The Worst Person in the World (First-Timer) My Second Choice

Kristen Stewart, Spencer (First-Timer)

Rachel Zegler, West Side Story, (First-Timer)


If I was an Oscar voter: My personal choices are two actresses in a non-English language film: Penelope Cruz and/or Renate Reinve.

Five of the potential nominees have been nominated before.

Four of the women have already won an Oscar; some more than once (McDormand).

Three of the women have scored nominations in both the lead and supporting categories.