Oscar 2022: Best Actor–Predictions (As of Jan 12, 2022)

My Life as an Oscar Historian and Oscar Predictor (1985-present):



Frontrunners: (A to Z)

Benedict Cumberbatch, “The Power of the Dog,” Netflix

Andrew Garfield, “Tick, Tick … Boom!” Netflix

Hidetoshi Nishijima, “Drive My Car” Sideshow/Janus Films

Simon Rex, “Red Rocket,” A24

Will Smith, “King Richard,” Warner Bros

Denzel Washington, “The Tragedy of Macbeth,” Apple Original Films/A24


Strong Contenders 

Clifton Collins, Jr. “Jockey” Sony Pictures Classics

Leonardo DiCaprio, “Don’t Look Up,” Netflix

Peter Dinklage, “Cyrano,” MGM/United Artists Releasing

Adam Driver, “House of Gucci,” MGM/United Artists Releasing

Cooper Hoffman, “Licorice Pizza,” MGM/United Artists


Also in the Run:

Timothee Chalamet, “Dune,” Warner

Jude Hill, “Belfast,” Focus Features

Oscar Isaac, “The Card Counter,” Focus Features

Joaquin Phoenix, “C’mon C’mon,” A24