Oscar 2018: Directors Guild as Predictor of Best Director Award

The Directors Guild Award (DGA) is one of the most reliable indicators of Oscar Gold.

Over the past 70 years, all but 7 of the DGA winners have won the Best Director Oscar, including Damien Chazelle last year for La La Land.

The last divergence came in 2013, when Ben Affleck won the DGA award for Argo, and though he did not receive an Oscar nomination, the film won Best Picture.

About 80% of DGA nominees have gone on to be nominated for an Oscar in recent years.

Along with Chazelle, the DGA also nominated Denis Villenueve for “Arrival,” Kenneth Lonergan for “Manchester by the Sea,” Barry Jenkins for “Moonlight” and Garth Davis for “Lion” last year.

All but Davis received Oscar nominations with the Academy opting instead for Mel Gibson for “Hacksaw Ridge.”

The winners will be announced at 70th Annual DGA Awards on February 3 at the Beverly Hilton Hotel.