Oscar: Directors Guild Award Good Predictor for Best Picture?

72nd Annual Golden Globe AwardsOver the last 66 years, the winner of the top prize at the DGA Awards went on to win the best director Oscar on all but seven occasions.

Moreover, the film for which they won went on to win the Best Picture Oscar on all but 14 occasions.

 

Discrepancies btewen the DGA and the Oscar occurred:

 

 

 

 

 

Year              DGA                                                                             Oscar

1968               Anthony Harvey  (The Lion in Winter)          Carol Reed (Oliver!)

1972              Bob Fosse (Cabaret)                                               Francis Ford Coppola (The Godfather)

1985              Sydney Pollack (Out of Africa)                           Steven Spielberg* (The Color Purple)

1995              Mel Gibson (Braveheart)                                      Ron Howard (Apollo 16)

2000             Ang Lee (Crouching Tiger, Hidden Dragon) Steven Soderbergh (Traffic)

2002             Rob Marshall (Chicago)                                         Roman Polanski (The Pianist)

2012              Ben Affleck** (Argo)                                              Ang Lee (Life of Pi)

 

* Spielberg was not even nominated for Best Director Oscar, though Color Purple received 10 nominations.

**Affleck was not nominated by his peers in the Director Branch, but Argo went on to win the Best Picture Oscar.