Oscar 2009: Best Picture Predictions

Ten of the these 17 pictures likely will get Best Picture nomination, now that the field is wider and includes more films.  It's almost irrelevant whether there were ten really good pictures in 2009; the slots must be filled. But be prepared for major surprises—It's called Oscar.

Frontrunners
 
Avatar
Up in the Air
The Hurt Locker
 
 Strong Contenders     
                                                                                                             
Invictus
Up
Precious
Serious Men
An Education
      
Also Competing
 
            District 9
Inglourious Basterds
The Blind Side
The Hangover
             Nine
 
Long Shots                                                                                                                 
 
Julie & Julia
Star Trek
The Last Station
The Messenger