I have been an Oscar guru for the past 36 years
I have been asked to predict the Oscars ever since the publication of my book, And the Winner Is: The History and Politics of the Academy Awards, back in 1986.
In 2000, there was a major revision of the text, which includes analysis of trends and stats, and we changed its title to Oscar Fever: The History and Politics of the Academy Awards.
The book, now titled All About Oscar: The History and Politics of the Academy Awards, is in its 11th edition.
*BEST PICTURE*
Frontrunners
Borat Subsequent Moviefilm (Amazon)
Da 5 Bloods (Netflix)
Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom (Netflix)
Mank (Netflix)
Minari (A24)
Nomadland (Searchlight)
Never Rarely Sometimes Always (Focus)
Promising Young Woman (Focus)
The Trial of the Chicago 7 (Netflix)
The United States vs. Billie Holiday (Paramount)
Strong Contenders:
The Father (Sony Classics)
The Invisible Man (Universal)
Judas and the Black Messiah (Warner Bros.)
News of the World (Universal)
On the Rocks (A24/Apple)
One Night in Miami (Amazon)
Soul (Pixar)
Sound of Metal (Amazon)
Also in the Run:
Ammonite (Neon)
Malcolm & Marie (Netflix)
The Midnight Sky (Netflix)
Palm Springs (Hulu/Neon)
Tenet (Warner Bros.)
