Oscar 2017: Best Picture Predictions, as of October

Though it’s only October, and not all “Oscar caliber” movies have been seen by critics or Academy voters, it’s rather safe to predict that eight to ten of the films listed below (in the first two categories) will be vying for Oscar gold.

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If you want to know more about the Oscars, please read my book, All About Oscar: History and Politics of the Academy Awards (11th edition).

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FRONTRUNNERS (in alphabetical order):

 

Fences  (Paramount)

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Jackie (Fox Searchlight)

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La La Land (Lionsgate)

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Lion (Weinstein)

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Loving (Focus Features)

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Manchester by the Sea (Amazon/Roadside Attractions)

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Moonlight (A24)

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Silence   (Paramount)

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Sully (Warner)

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STRONG CONTENDERS: (in alphabetical order)

20th Century Women (A24)

Hecksaw Ridge (Lionsgate)

Hell or High Water

Hidden Figures (Fox)

Live By Night (Warner)

Rules Don’t Apply (Fox)

 

Also in the Run:

Allied (Paramount)

Arrival (Paramount)

Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk   (Sony)

Florence Foster Jenkins   (Paramount)

 

Long Shots:

Birth of a Nation (Fox Searchlight)

Comedian

Gold (Weinstein)

Patriots Day (Lionsgate)