Oscar 2021: Best Picture–Predictions

November 23, 2020
For the past 35 years, ever since the first edition of my Oscar book, then titled And the Winner Is: History and Politics of the Academy Awards, was published, I have been polled about the Academy Awards.  This began way before the age of Internet, in print, radio, TV, and other platforms.
The book, now in its 11th paperback edition, is titled: All About Oscar: History and Politics of the Academy Awards.
Two noteworthy trends
Netflix should dominate the Best Picture category this year.
The large number of black-themed films is remarkable, too.
There are about 30 films that are worth seeing, and should get the attention of the Academy voters.
As always, my list consists of  three categories: frontrunners, strong contenders, and also-in-the-run.

Frontrunners (in alphabetical order)

Da 5 Bloods (Netflix)

Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom (Netflix)

Mank (Netflix)

Midnight Sky, The (Netflix)

Minari (A24)

Nomadland (Searchlight)

News of the World (Universal)

One Night in Miami (Amazon)

Soul (Pixar)

Trial of the Chicago 7, The (Netflix)


Strong Contenders (A to Z)

Borat Subsequent Movie (Amazon)

Father, The (Sony Classics)

Invisible Man, The (Universal)

Malcolm & Marie (Netflix)

Never Rarely Sometimes Always (Focus)

On the Rocks (A24/Apple)

Palm Springs (Hulu/Neon)

Personal History of David Copperfield, The (Searchlight)

Prom, The (Netflix)

Promising Young Woman (Focus)

Sound of Metal, The (Amazon)

United States vs. Billie Holiday, The (Paramount)


Also in the Run (A to Z)

Ammonite (Neon)

Cherry (Apple TV+)

Joe Bell (Solstice)

Judas and the Black Messiah (Warner)

Little Things, The (Warner)

Martin Eden (Kino Lorber)

Mauritanian, The (STX)

Outpost, The (Chicken Soup For The Soul)

Supernova (Bleecker Street)

Tenet (Warner)

Wild Mountain Thyme (Bleecker Street)


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