Oscar 2019: Best Supporting Actress–Predictions

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

No matter which nine or ten films will be nominated for the Best Picture Oscar, there will be greater diversity and inclusion this year than ever before.

If you want to know more about the Oscars, please consult my book, All About Oscar: The History and Politics of the Academy Awards (hardcover and paperback).

FRONTRUNNERS (in alphabetical order)

Amy Adams, Vice

Claire Foy, First Man

Nicole Kidman, Boy Erased

Regina King, If Beale Street Could Talk

Emma Stone, The Favourite

Rachel Weisz, The Favourite

STRONG CONTENDERS

Thomasin Harcourt McKenzie, Leave No Trace

Margot Robbie, Mary Queen of Scots

Emily Blunt, A Quiet Place

ALSO IN THE RUN

Linda Cardellini, Green Boo

Marina de Tavira, Roma (foreign language film)

Natalie Portman, Von Lux

Sissy Spacek, Old Man and the Gun

Michelle Yeoh. Crazy Rich Asians

 

Analysis:

Of the 14 actresses on my list, 8 have been nominated for Oscar before, and 5 have actually won: Kidman, Portman, Stone, Spacek, and Weisz.

Emma Stone and Rachel Weisz, both excellent in The Favourite, might cancel each other out.

Regina King, African American, is the only minority woman among the frontrunners, and so far the critics favorite, having been recognized by both New York and Los Angeles reviewers.

Asian Michelle Yeoh is a distant runner for her turn in Crazy Rich Asians.

All of the actresses have played both leading and supporting roles, which is quite encouraging.

The most natural or understated performance is given by Sissy Spacek (no make up, no accent, no costumes, no rabbits….) if the underestimated The Old Man & the Gun (opposite Redford, in his last screen role).

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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